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When did Scotch become so expensive and why?

 
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lowlander
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:56 pm    Post subject: When did Scotch become so expensive and why? Reply with quote

Some may argue its always been "expensive" Very Happy

However, my question is more directed at when the price and popularity of the drink today became relatively more expensive. Macallan being a prime example.

Was it marketing in foreign markets, promotion of it in popular culture like films or the popularity of it for the relatively new middle-class markets like India and China, or perhaps a combination of all of the above?

To me, I noticed the big shift in pricing and the introduction of non-age statement whiskies around 2015.

I look forward to everyone's perspectives.


Last edited by lowlander on Fri Sep 18, 2020 11:36 pm; edited 1 time in total
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ralfy legend
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 3:32 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Inflation, greed, nas, but also looking forward the read other replies.
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Dave h
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PostPosted: Fri Sep 18, 2020 5:52 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Online auctions fuelled this upward pricing. It's so annoying. Producers were wanting more profit, not happy a few individuals making a quick buck so now all drinkers are penalised as a consequence of flippers.

Then occasionally shops will put a mark up too as they price match auctions, I say occasionally quite a few up the prices at retail as producer's dont give enough mark up on the rrp for retailers to make a living.

Just my thoughy
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Southcoast Boy
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 8:29 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Dave h wrote:
Online auctions fuelled this upward pricing. It's so annoying. Producers were wanting more profit, not happy a few individuals making a quick buck so now all drinkers are penalised as a consequence of flippers.

Then occasionally shops will put a mark up too as they price match auctions, I say occasionally quite a few up the prices at retail as producer's dont give enough mark up on the rrp for retailers to make a living.

Just my thoughy


My first post here, but been reading the single malt part for a couple of years.

I am primarily a collector, but every day drinker and occasional flipper.

I have to say that flippers get a pretty bad rap. Sometimes they are an easy target. Only time flippers bother me, is they are predators sitting on the refresh button and we drinkers miss out. Again and again.

However, the majority of them make very little in the fickle world of auctions. The big winners here are the retailers, the distillery and of course the auctioneers. All of which love flippers, even though they will tell you flippers are all that's bad in whisky. Every thing they do is aimed to entice the flipper. What flippers have created is an urgency to buy. When it's gone it's gone as we are always told.

I won't mention any retailers names, but they put up prices to ridiculous amounts with the thinly veiled flippers are making the money that really should be ours. Pureand utter greed at the highest degree. I desperately wanted the 19 year old Glengoyne single cask OB. I didn't get one, but I could have paid 350 through a well known retailer instead of 200 that everyone else charged and it was limited to one! As there was someone who wanted 10 at almost double price.

Unless these guys are giving the difference between their price and recommended retail to charity or financially support the whisky industry in some way where it is most needed, then the distilleries should boycott them, or charge them double what they do respectable retailers.

This will come crashing down soon. There's only a certain amount of space for all these unopened bottles. Whisky is basically a currency at the moment and what climbs quickly, falls just as fast.

Peace out guys. Glad to finally get involved.
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lincoln imp
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 8:59 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

There is no mystery here it is very simple, once the word investment was mentioned due to auction prices and gains being trumpeted that is when the shit storm broke.

Now the whisky world is not interested in drinkers, bottles are aimed at collectors and especially investors and marketed towards that with one eye on gains, gains, gains.

Some didtillers have tried to reposition themselves as the next bog player in the whisky world, look at Mortlach as a prime example of this.
Look at Balblair, they want around £500 for the 25 year, *** who are they kidding, what planet are they on, Mork calling Orson, come in Orson etc etc.

Distillers are raising their prices because they think the market will stand it and that is because greed is everywhere as has already been pointed out, some distillers even put limited editiond straight to auction houses, they are flippping their own bottles for God's sake.

The rot set in when the drinkers were deemed surplus to requirments in the search for bigger gains, damm them all.
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unblended
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PostPosted: Mon Sep 21, 2020 7:15 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

i like the last two comments summed up what i was going to say and have said in the past i must admit i thought the prices would have come down by now
they will have to some time the sooner the better for me that is

i noticed somebody trying to sell the new johnnie walker red label with the red plastic wrap around label for £ 200.00 says it all

where will it all end and dont get me going on about the latest macallans Laughing
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lowlander
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 24, 2020 8:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

Thanks for the responses all. Certainly a lot of interesting views.

I'd love to think that whisky will come down in price, but I really can't see it happening anytime over the next few years. In saying that, we are starting to see more independent bottlers coming onto the scene boasting about things like non-chill filtering and natural colour on their products. So, although not cheap, at least we can still find non-filtered versions of whiskies that have a reputation for adding colour and filtering in their official bottlings.
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FasterThanLightning
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 13, 2020 8:42 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

There are plenty of reasons why whisky has gone up in price that aren’t to do with flippers / investors.

With the closure of so many distilleries in the last 30 years when demand was lower means there is less whisky maturing in casks long term. So although you have some new players on the market, it’ll be 20-25 years before they are producing 30yo whisky and in a lot of cases 5-10 years before they are bringing out 12yo stuff. The amount of good stuff that was put away in the 90’s and 2000’s is therefore limited.

Meanwhile in the last 20 years, we’ve seen a huge increase in the number of newly rich people in emerging economies such as Dubai, China, etc that have so much wealth they don’t know what to do with it, so once they’ve bought their Ferrari & their boat, they move on to fine whisky, cigars etc.

It’s simple supply and demand & while the flippers & investors absolutely do contribute to it, they are a symptomatic of the larger problem of unfettered capitalism creating a huge wealth gap, in developing nations as well as in western countries (see Mr Gooding’s Whisky collection for example that was sold when he died).
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lincoln imp
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 13, 2020 10:13 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

FasterThanLightning wrote:
There are plenty of reasons why whisky has gone up in price that aren’t to do with flippers / investors.

With the closure of so many distilleries in the last 30 years when demand was lower means there is less whisky maturing in casks long term. So although you have some new players on the market, it’ll be 20-25 years before they are producing 30yo whisky and in a lot of cases 5-10 years before they are bringing out 12yo stuff. The amount of good stuff that was put away in the 90’s and 2000’s is therefore limited.

Meanwhile in the last 20 years, we’ve seen a huge increase in the number of newly rich people in emerging economies such as Dubai, China, etc that have so much wealth they don’t know what to do with it, so once they’ve bought their Ferrari & their boat, they move on to fine whisky, cigars etc.

It’s simple supply and demand & while the flippers & investors absolutely do contribute to it, they are a symptomatic of the larger problem of unfettered capitalism creating a huge wealth gap, in developing nations as well as in western countries (see Mr Gooding’s Whisky collection for example that was sold when he died).


All valid points here but flippers are a bigger problem in my view, look at the Daftmill single cask releases, some people were buying 6 at a time and immedietly putting them at auction.
I agree one things feeds another but if flipping did not happen everyone would have a chance, just about, to buy a whisky at a sensible price.
I got a Daftmill single cask for £164 and got it home and I told my wife they were going for £700 at auction, she said sell it then and make some money?
I just looked at here and opened it immediatly.

I have never flipped a bottle and never will on principle, as I said in my last post, the drinkers are being left out, they don`t matter and can make do with NAS.

At the end of the day, there will always be people trying to make a fast buck, that is life, buyin one bottle to flip, well ok but buying multiples to flip is damaging to all concerned.

As a side issue, now I am stocking up on supermarket offers and on line offers of value for the future, in a few years time pricing will be out of control for anything over 12 years old.
I
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davidbe
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PostPosted: Tue Oct 13, 2020 4:14 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

lincoln imp wrote:


As a side issue, now I am stocking up on supermarket offers and on line offers of value for the future, in a few years time pricing will be out of control for anything over 12 years old.
I


I've been doing this for years with bourbon. The price of decent age stated bourbon these days is ridiculous.


Last edited by davidbe on Thu Oct 15, 2020 10:48 am; edited 1 time in total
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Scotchnthings
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 15, 2020 9:59 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Im going to say its the buyers on auctions. If there was no buyers there would be no flippers.



Also to be fair, I don't think whisky prices are that crazy. Considering its basically distilled beer, you would need 10 litres of beer to get one litre of spirit. So imagine a 33cl can of whisky (yum) to be the price of 10 33cl cans of beer. On top of that you need to buy casks, age it for years and you lose on angel share.

Oh and regarding the Collecting, its probably low interest rates, people are collecting toys, art, sneakers... A first edition pokemon card just sold for 200k plus if you can believe it....
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Scotchnthings
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PostPosted: Thu Oct 15, 2020 6:51 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

To be fair it was shy of 200k

https://www.polygon.com/pokemon/2020/10/13/21514298/pokemon-ccg-charizard-card-auction-price-logic-rapper
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HJ
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PostPosted: Sun Nov 01, 2020 12:05 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Just recently in the US it seems like everything has taken a big price increase & blaming it on tariffs, regardless of country of origin. Even Bourbon, so what does that tell you?
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